Um, no. An automatic car made something people basically have to do easier without requiring someone to buy two cars. The iPad doesn't replace a smart phone nor a laptop from a functionality point of view, even Apple themselves have said it's a new segment. It doesn't actually replace anything that I can think of.
No one who needs a laptop or computer for any real work or other purpose is going to replace it with an iPad, it will be something extra they buy for "fun" basically. So yes, a toy. Great for those that want and buy one I'm sure, but hardly a "must have" by anyone. I really think that even in 5 years time, viewing web stats, iPad figures will be lucky to be 10% of browsers, if that. We'll see if I'm proven wrong, but that's my prediction.
The *only* niche I've thought about that it could come into their own is as highly portable DJ decks, with the screen big enough to display two virtual mixing decks using mp3 tracks. Could actually be very cool for that.
Back on topic.... auto or manual, it makes no diff. It's still a car. The ipad is not going to replace your regular macbook or desktop. There's plenty that it is not doing ie lack of flash, no multitasking, no cam, not open etc... google the rest. I view it as the mac mini of the macbooks. And basically won't buy it for the same reason the iTouch did not appeal to me.
::The only niche I've thought about that it could come into their own is as highly portable DJ decks, with the screen big enough to display two virtual mixing decks using mp3 tracks. Could actually be very cool for that.::
I'm very excited to see what it can do for the music industry. It's not just DJ's -- as a control surface for producers in the studio or performers on stage it has amazing potential.
But it's really so much more than that, any jobs that require people to be on their feet and moving around but with the need to access and record information -- Doctors, teachers, students, couriers, managers, scientists, salesmen -- you could spend all day listing them.
Now think about the myriad little technological doodads that workers like this carry around with them to perform these jobs currently. They're often very clumsy and limited in functionality. Often they're still just clipboards with forms on them. Now think a decade ahead and replace all that shit with this *new class* of device.
**The iPad wants to be your universal information appliance.**
::But it's really so much more than that, any jobs that require people to be on their feet and moving around but with the need to access and record information -- Doctors, teachers, students, couriers, managers, scientists, salesmen -- you could spend all day listing them.
Definitely this. One thing I'm bummed is that they haven't released a bookstore for Australia yet. But the moment when all those books I want- and I'm not talking fiction books I'm talking text books for school, research books, a whole library at my finger tips, then I'm pretty sure I'll be sold. Especially for highschool kids who have to pack their bags with 8kg of books and lag it home in those enormous backpacks. This could solve all of that.
I'm not thinking this is a replacement for a work machine. But hey i have a huge mac pro at work. I've got a laptop at home but barely use it. This would be perfect for me. I think there would be a LOT of other people like me, who want something simpler.
If I was a student - doing something that doesnt require the manual car (ie graphic design, programming, etc) but was instead doing something essay/research based) the ipad with an external keyboard would be perfect.
I have to admit though, syncing on the ipad looks like it sucks ass.
Regarding flash, number of times I've interacted with Flash content: 0.